Projects & Insights

Technical write-ups from KH Solve on statistics, machine learning and simulation, worked through on real data, from A/B testing to extreme river flows.

Bayesian A/B Testing: A Practical Guide

Move beyond p-values with Bayesian A/B testing. Learn how to make better decisions with probability statements your stakeholders actually understand.

Storm Desmond: A Once in Century Storm?

Modelling extreme river flows with Bayesian statistics. How Extreme Value Theory helps us quantify uncertainty around rare, high-consequence events.

Distribution Drift: When Good Models Go Sideways

We trained an RL agent to drive around a track. Then we made the track 20% narrower. No errors. No warnings. Just silent degradation. This is distribution drift, and it's probably happening to your models right now.